I’ve written about the so-called “Pro-Russian” faction within Ukraine before. Even before the first shot was fired, the situation that had developed in Ukraine following the coup d’etat of 2014 can only be characterized as a complete, abject and miserable failure of Russian foreign policy. And it only got worse year after year following the seizure of power and the beginning of the anti-terrorist operation in the Donbass. Here, the failure is inexcusable, but easily explainable. The Kremlin, in its hard-boiled cynicism, thought that they could just bribe politicians and oligarchs in Ukraine to keep the situation from getting too out of control. They never switched strategies and they never really did anything to neutralize the West’s far more effective color revolution + mass propaganda strategy. Incompetent corrupt fools like Victor Medvedchuk were tasked with keeping a Russian toehold in Ukraine.
The blitzkreig assualt in the first days was meant to be a quick knock out blow to collapse the Kiev regime. Shock and Awe if you will. The intel was obviously flawed, especially in Kharkiv IMO. In the first days, there were reports of Russian generals being killed, the rumors that these were fractricidal, from within. because of corruption. However, the quick, overthrow victory was probably only hoped for, but not expected as the only outcome and other contingencies were planned.
However, it was the reaction of the collective west that actually turned this defeat / set-back into a stunning victory for Russia. Seizing foreign reserves, asset forfeitures, Russophobia, cancelling of all things Russian and massive sanctions, solidified a larger strategy Russia would need to complete its goals in the Ukraine, to divorce itself from the west, and establish complete national sovereignty for its future. Russia now has the unified strength to now take on the whole collective west if need be. The USA turned Russia from the bully, to the west as the lawless thug and bully of the whole of the Russian Federation. my .02 cents from the USA.
Thanks for the explanation. The failure of the Kiev campaign is one thing about this conflict I haven't been able to figure out that's been bugging me. I assumed it was an attempted quick knock-out punch that failed, but this makes a lot more sense.
Ghostumel: The UkroNazis were waiting for the Russians at Ghostumel. There were obviously moles within the Russian ranks that severely compromised the early days.
Thanks Rolo! I think you're on to something I just can't quite tell what. The opening moves of the SMO sure were odd, and there is really no fully satisfactory explanation to it yet. It sure is an interesting hypothesis to assume that the "pro-russia" faction in Ukraine gave away their own followers to the highest bidder. It certainly would fit into the bigger picture of societal decay and individual degeneracy that anyone can observe in the Ukraine. And given this picture the hypothesis certainly makes sense. The only thing that is hard to believe is that after the massive faceplant that russian intelligence has inflicted onto itself in 2014, that anyone in the russian securtity services would make the exact same mistakes 8 years later. Also, would the western/Ukrainian side really parade Medvedchuk (what happened to Kiva?) around after they successfully paid him off to give up the resistance in the most timely manner. Everybody "in the know" would forever remember. Sergey Narishkyn btw is the head of the SVR, not the FSB (Bortnikow), but the dressdown may have been appropriate in any case. For me it's still a mystery, also in contrast with the apparently very effective operation in Kazakhstan in January. I have no alternative explanation though.
I think Putin and the Russian govt never dreamed the NATO War Machine, Western govts, and the media go be so bat shit crazy as they are. I know I never did. Look at these men in dresses we have on our side. And the stupendous lies. The Russians are probably flabbergasted.
The blitzkreig assualt in the first days was meant to be a quick knock out blow to collapse the Kiev regime. Shock and Awe if you will. The intel was obviously flawed, especially in Kharkiv IMO. In the first days, there were reports of Russian generals being killed, the rumors that these were fractricidal, from within. because of corruption. However, the quick, overthrow victory was probably only hoped for, but not expected as the only outcome and other contingencies were planned.
However, it was the reaction of the collective west that actually turned this defeat / set-back into a stunning victory for Russia. Seizing foreign reserves, asset forfeitures, Russophobia, cancelling of all things Russian and massive sanctions, solidified a larger strategy Russia would need to complete its goals in the Ukraine, to divorce itself from the west, and establish complete national sovereignty for its future. Russia now has the unified strength to now take on the whole collective west if need be. The USA turned Russia from the bully, to the west as the lawless thug and bully of the whole of the Russian Federation. my .02 cents from the USA.
Thanks for the explanation. The failure of the Kiev campaign is one thing about this conflict I haven't been able to figure out that's been bugging me. I assumed it was an attempted quick knock-out punch that failed, but this makes a lot more sense.
It seemed to me that the goal of the initial invasion was to force negotiations. This theory is the best alternative I have seen to that theory.
Meanwhile, watch the birth rate in Russia and the West. If the clot shot continues to suppress fertility, then all this geopolitics gets changed.
https://n.actionsack.com/Jikkyleaks/status/1540914383349395456#m
Ghostumel: The UkroNazis were waiting for the Russians at Ghostumel. There were obviously moles within the Russian ranks that severely compromised the early days.
Thanks Rolo! I think you're on to something I just can't quite tell what. The opening moves of the SMO sure were odd, and there is really no fully satisfactory explanation to it yet. It sure is an interesting hypothesis to assume that the "pro-russia" faction in Ukraine gave away their own followers to the highest bidder. It certainly would fit into the bigger picture of societal decay and individual degeneracy that anyone can observe in the Ukraine. And given this picture the hypothesis certainly makes sense. The only thing that is hard to believe is that after the massive faceplant that russian intelligence has inflicted onto itself in 2014, that anyone in the russian securtity services would make the exact same mistakes 8 years later. Also, would the western/Ukrainian side really parade Medvedchuk (what happened to Kiva?) around after they successfully paid him off to give up the resistance in the most timely manner. Everybody "in the know" would forever remember. Sergey Narishkyn btw is the head of the SVR, not the FSB (Bortnikow), but the dressdown may have been appropriate in any case. For me it's still a mystery, also in contrast with the apparently very effective operation in Kazakhstan in January. I have no alternative explanation though.
I think Putin and the Russian govt never dreamed the NATO War Machine, Western govts, and the media go be so bat shit crazy as they are. I know I never did. Look at these men in dresses we have on our side. And the stupendous lies. The Russians are probably flabbergasted.