Ukraine is Preparing a Massive Offensive and There's Really No Denying It Anymore
Does anyone know a good copium dealer?
So, here’s the relevant clip of what Strelkov had to say recently.
And here’s what Prigozhin recently came out with.
This is … well, it’s even worse than what I predicted.
I expected a simple push on Zaporozhye in the south like what the Ukrainian army pulled off in Kharkov. But now, the two guys who have been talking the most sense about this war so far are coming out and talking about attacks being prepared all up and down the Russian line and even into Russia proper in the Kursk/Belgorod region.
The fact that Ukraine is attacking and Russia is on the defensive should come as no surprise to anyone who doesn’t have his head stuck up into a place where even the radiant glory of Yahweh’s angels’ light don’t shine.
The Russian army is fighting outnumbered.
There is no mass one-sided slaughter of Ukrainian soldiers occurring.
Both sides are slugging it out and taking heavy losses.
Ukraine has been massing and preparing a new breakthrough army
You can pretend now that “literally everyone knew that this attack was going to occur, Rolo” and that all is going according to Putin’s Judo plan. But this is simply not true and really just a typical goalpost moving “defense in depth” strategy being employed by the 5Ders. In the winter, they were talking about a massive Russian offensive. This never materialized. At the same time, the doomers such as myself were talking about how the attack would come from Ukraine, not Russia. Now, they pretend that they were in the know the whole time. Whats worse, their lying works because they probably aren’t even aware that they’re lying.
They’re just stupid, basically. And stupid people don’t have long-term memories. That’s why it’s so easy for the elites to fool the peasants. That’s also why it’s so easy for the peasants to fool themselves!
The new cope is that, yes, OK, there is going to be a big attack by Ukraine, but that this is actually a Russian trap, like the one in Kharkov and Kherson. That Russia wants this and is now inviting the aggression.
Here, read this thread for a quick laugh:
Strelkov and Progozhin? Literal nobodies. Donbass Devushka is the one you want to be listening to. These ladies have the inside scoop.
But it is a point worth discussing. Namely, is Russia ready for this attack?
The short answer: no.
The longer answer: no, and here’s why.
Look, Russia’s entire command structure is disjoined and constantly feuding with itself. Furthermore, the central government in Moscow has been shirking responsibility since the very first days of this war. They pushed off mobilization onto the regions, outsourced a key front to a PMC, and basically let Russian civil society pick up the slack when it came to making sure that the mobilized weren’t sent naked to the front because they couldn’t be bothered to check whether or not Shoigu or his predecessor had looted the warehouses before starting the Not-War.
Belgorod is a Russian territory that Ukraine has already raided into several times and continually bombs. For many months, the Russian government pretended that this wasn’t happening because it was embarrassing.
Then, the Ukrainians mounted their most daring raid yet, and all of a sudden the Kremlin took notice, threatening swift and brutal consequences for Kiev.
And the result?
Russia lobbed a few more missiles at Kiev and power went out for a couple of hours, trains ran late, and the idiot gape-mouthed cheerleaders on Team Z ate it all up as if it were another big W for Russia. But it wasn’t. In fact, it was literally the opposite of that.
In other words, the Kremlin has proven that they will not actually punish Ukraine or NATO for that matter, no matter how many red lines the cross. They are free to do what they will and Russia will simply bear it.
FYI, that’s why Russia is often symbolized as a bear. Because Russia’s elites do the “bear” minimum and “bear” endless provocations and “bearly” seem to be fighting back at all!
Q: So, who is organizing the defense of the Kursk region?
Stop and think about it.
Nope, think again.
A: It’s the regional government there of course, ya dummy.
Surprising? Why? That’s just how Russia has been fighting this war, which we covered it a paragraph above. The local government is now tasked with setting up defenses.
Here, this guy covers the story in English:
Anyways, Kursk is still far off. The most pressing problem still remains the Ukrainian push on the south to cut Crimea off.
Now, this attack has been telegraphed since literally two months ago, at least. It is quite obvious that it was coming. It is even more obvious than the Kharkov attack and the Kherson attack, really.
Ukraine is already sending probes against Russia’s positions. These are suicide missions. But hey, if you have the men, and don’t care about said men, why not?
On March 23-24, in the Zaporozhye direction, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine planned to launch a counteroffensive. According to the enemy's plan, the main blow was to fall on the Orekhovsky sector: a strike force was created in the city up to a reinforced battalion tactical group.
According to @ZSU_Hunter_2_0, the command of the 58th Combined Arms Army of the RF Armed Forces decided to inflict massive fire damage on exposed enemy positions and warehouses. The offensive was thwarted before it even started.
From 21.00 to midnight on March 22, hotels and schools were hit in the city, which were used to accommodate personnel of both the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the recently formed Chervona Kalina assault brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine - in total, more than 20 targets were covered.
Several warehouses with ammunition, artillery shells, ATGMs, and equipment parking were put out of action.
Estimated losses of the enemy reach half a thousand people killed and wounded. The Internet was turned off in the city to prevent information leaks. The wounded are taken out through Zaliznichnoe towards Gulyaipole.
This is a repeat of what was done many times before already, most notably in Kherson, before the Russians simply gave up and pulled back because they knew that they were too heavily outnumbered.
In other words, the signs of this coming attack are simply too obvious to ignore now.
All that being said, I can’t say that I’m confident that Russia has enough men to hold them off. If I were judging from Russia’s track record in this war so far, I would have to assume that they aren’t prepared at all. Either way, probably less than a month to go at this point until we find out.
Also, have you forgotten about the bet that we made a while back?
I say we make a bet going forward. If I am proven right, and you haven’t become a paid sub yet, you commit to becoming one.
Every time I make hard predictions I feel like I’m putting all my chips on the poker table, but my opponents get to keep their chips whether or not I have a better hand than them when it comes time to show our cards. 5Ders write meaningless word salad and the swine who read them religiously just scarf it all down unquestioningly. They have been wrong too many times to count, but they never seem to incur a penalty for this. Furthermore, they keep their predictions vague and easy to backtrack from and even still they get caught bluffing with a 7 and a 2 on the river.
Full house! Read ‘em and weep!
I noticed while googling around that a forum dedicated to ouija board aliens had some of my posts linked on their Russia-Ukraine war megathread. So I went ahead and signed up to join the discussion.
And I got muted almost immediately. Lol.
Interestingly, despite being Russia experts, they seem to think that the main group of people who are pushing the US into war with Russia are the - wait for it, wait for it - the “psychopaths”. Yep, just imagine doing all that extensive research, even going so far as to reach out to aliens from another galaxy for help, and then still not being able to notice the gigantic hook-nosed, chicken-whirling, money-lending gorilla pummeling a Palestinian child to death right in front of you.
Actually, I thought about it a bit, and I’ve decided to refer to the principle organizers and fomenters of this conflict as the ethnic psychopaths going forward.
In my defense, I thought the forum was interesting because of all the esoterica that it covered. But, it appears to just be a limited hangout for pompous spiritual boomers. Many such cases. Oh well.
Also, apparently, I’m just jealous that the ethnic psychopaths are smarter than me.
Maybe Joe is just jealous that I’m uncircumsized?
Without understanding the ethnic psychopath lobby and its power in Ukraine and the West (and Russia too), literally nothing about this war makes sense. Gotta have the fundamentals down. You just gotta. Anyways, my attempt to discuss the war went nowhere over there either. This particular lady seems to think that there is no proof that Russia ever wanted to capture Kiev.
Yeah, other than that time where they parked their army outside Kiev, there’s really no proof at all.
That’s the very low level of discussion that you will find just about everywhere on the topic of the war. Unless you speak Russian and use Telegram that is.
Anyways, this little foray into the unknown got me thinking again about why people are so easily deluded about the war or Qanon or whatever else. I think this goes even deeper than just simple run-of-the-mill peasant gullibility or low IQ.
I’ve blamed bad metaphysics for this before and I wanted to flesh the idea out a bit further here. My argument is NOT that going to Church and listening to the priests makes you lose IQ points.
I mean, I do believe that actually, but that’s not related to the argument that I’m bringing up here and now.
Basically, I’m saying that the logic of people who think that Russia is winning is fundamentally based on their understanding of metaphysics and their undying misguided belief that morality = metaphysics. Of course, there are exceptions to this rule, and I’m generalizing, but judge for yourself if you don’t see some merit in my observations.
Here’s the unsaid chain of thoughts in most people’s heads:
God is good and all-powerful therefore the good guys win wars like in the Bible.
America promotes sodomy and tranny surgery now and Russia does not
God will punish America and her allies and reward Russia
Now, you can even strip this logic down of its Christian elements and you will find that most people still use the basic structure. This is because even if they reject the superficial and superfluous elements of Christianity, like the Resurrection or Moses on the mountain and so on, they keep the important parts, like the same obsession with morality, and the same structure for understanding metaphysics.
Good things happen to good people
America is being bad and Russia is being good
Good things will happen to Russia
You can take the peasants out of church, but you can’t take the church out of the peasants, is what I’m saying.
Although Mencken said it better.
My view is that the laws of the material plane ought to be studied and understood because we live on the material plane ourselves. In this world, those with the most power win. So, to determine who will win this war, all we have to do is figure out who is more powerful and who understands power better.
Then, once the powerful have won, they will also magically become the most moral.
See how that works?
And finally, a corollary prediction: if, or simply when Russia loses, the peasants will simply say that Russia deserved to lose because, upon further research, Russia was too corrupt or immoral. Only then will they consult my blog to figure out why their god let the good guys lose. That is, to find evidence of why the good guys weren’t really all that good, and to continue justifying the existence of the aforementioned metaphysical model.
"and then still not being able to notice the gigantic hook-nosed, chicken-whirling, money-lending gorilla pummeling a Palestinian child to death right in front of you"
I still find it baffling that the majority of westerners is either unwilling or unable to entertain the possibility that the small hat people have a negative influence on society and international politics. It's not like the examples are hard to find.
An interesting piece, Rolo. You have been far more accurate than any of the SMO commentators. Prigozhin and Strelkov are rarely mentioned by the 5D'ers except to usually dismiss them. I have yet to see any 5D'er link to an actual in-theater source but somehow they're the truth-tellers. God forbid if you try to inject any kind of logic or question the Narrative. The downvotes come fast and furious. The coming double down will be quite the exercise in pretzel logic.
Russia refuses to embrace identity. From where I'm sitting, Russia's elite want to be part of the Big Gay Club too and they'll sacrifice however many people to get their membership. Riley has been hammering home that Russia is rolling right along with the techno-tyranny and basically paying lip service to Christianity and family values.